National Dish or Extinction Risk?
Nick Paling
The Decline of
The International
Committee for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES) is the scientific
organisation responsible for reporting the state of the European seas and their
fish stocks to the European Union (EU) Fisheries Commission.

The chart (right), which is adapted from ICES data, shows the trend in
the stocks of mature, spawning, cod in the
“…
ICES
ICES believe that, because
quotas have been set higher than the levels recommended by scientists for twenty
years, the
Since 2002 ICES
have warned European governments that, if cod fishing continues with the same level of intensity,
then the North Sea cod stocks will soon collapse. In 2006, for the fifth
successive year, they
recommended that the EU fisheries commission implement a total ban on cod
fishing in the
The Response to the ICES Report
In response to the ICES report, the EU Fisheries
Commission have formulated numerous plans to close cod fishing grounds in the North and
In 2004 Bradshaw
and Finnie took their objection to the EU Fisheries Commissioner Joe Borg and after four days of talks, in which several compromise deals were offered and
all rejected, on the 22nd December 2004 the EU Fisheries Commission announced
that they had reversed their decision and that no cod fishing grounds would be
closed in 2005. The only concession that the EU could glean was an agreement
that the number of days fishing allowed a month should be reduced from fifteen
to fourteen.

What Does the Future Hold?
The response from
scientific and conservation organisations to the EU decision was immediate and
scathing, with many claiming that the decision represented a short term measure
and that it had placed the long-term future of the North Sea cod fishing
industry in jeopardy.
Precedents
have been set by other cod fisheries that have been managed according to quota
systems similar to the one currently in place in the EU. In 1993, Canadian cod
fisheries collapsed after years of poor management (see panel below),
illustrating the devastating effect that the collapse of a cod fishery can
have. In contrast, Icelandic cod fisheries have been managed in strict
accordance with the advice of their scientific advisers, and the fisheries
managers have not shied away from making cuts in the industry to ensure the
long-term future of the fishery (see panel below). It seems that only time will
tell what the consequences of the EU’s decision will be and how severe they
will be for the cod stocks in the North Sea, the cod fishing industry and for
the people of Europe for whom cod has always been a nutritious and enjoyable
food.


Changing Attitudes
What
has become clear as this debate has unfolded, is that only consumer pressure
will be able to change the attitudes of politicians when planning for the
future of the cod fishing industry. The power of consumers to change fisheries
management has been clearly demonstrated previously, for example when altered
tuna fishing approaches were needed to prevent the deaths of dolphins as
by-catch. Unfortunately, consumer awareness of the plight of North Sea cod,
although rapidly increasing in recent years, is
at best moderate and many perceive that cod is still plentiful, without
appreciating that only 10% of the 60,000 tonnes of cod consumed in the
Despite
this, consumers in the
“…The demand for fish is set by the consumer…so conservation programs need to target consumers rather than the fishing industry...”
Further 
For further information about
The Good Fish Guide is available
from the Marine Conservation Society via their website:www.mcsuk.org
The Icelandic Cod Fisheries story can be found at
the websites:
http://www.un.org/esa/agenda21/natlinfo/niau/iceland1.htm
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© N. Paling and CI-UK: All rights reserved.

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